Six Reasons the Race is Over

... and why I'm concentrating on the Congressional Races...

From Charlie Cook, summarized nicely by Electoral-Vote.com:

1. No candidate this far back two weeks out has ever won.
2. Early voting is going strong and even if something big happens, those votes are already cast.
3. The Democrats have a 10% advantage in party registration; in 2004 it was even.
4. Obama is outspending McCain 4 to 1 in many states.
5. There is no evidence for the so-called Bradley effect in the past 15 years.
6. Obama is safe in all the Kerry states and ahead in half a dozen states Bush won.

If McCain were to win at this point, it would be the comeback to end all political comebacks. It just isn't going to happen. I'm going to put a wager on it -- if McCain does win, the background image on my blog for the next year will be me wearing a McCain-Palin T-shirt. Nah guh happen.

Labels: 2008 Election, Barack Obama, Democratic Party, John McCain, Politics, Republican Party

posted by jbrzoska @ 9:20 AM Trackback Link